Waiting to estimate growth rate is only nessecary because we don't have enough sequence data. Statisitical methods to measure growth rate have advanced quite a bit in recent years. (The last two). With more genomic data you can actually look at the growth rate in particular clusters individually and actually detect quickly growing clades quickly. We don't have the data to do this anymore, sadly.
Very nice read - took me back statistics lectures in the 70s at London Uni - well some of it did, the rest was brand new - thank you Oliver
Great explanation of the likelihood phenomenon. Thanks! I may borrow some of this to support my estimates, if you don’t mind.
Yes, of course, that's absolutely fine!
Waiting to estimate growth rate is only nessecary because we don't have enough sequence data. Statisitical methods to measure growth rate have advanced quite a bit in recent years. (The last two). With more genomic data you can actually look at the growth rate in particular clusters individually and actually detect quickly growing clades quickly. We don't have the data to do this anymore, sadly.