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Dave McNally's avatar

I'm an idiot, could've had the variant landscape still running for the past month. I shut down most of the processes that do the update as I assumed they would stop providing all the data. I am using a slightly different dataset to Alex but thought I'd just check in case it was all still going.

https://ukcovid.xyz/variant-landscape.php

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Oliver Johnson's avatar

Oooh, exciting stuff thanks (I assumed that too!) .. Not sure I can post gifs in notes threads, but if not https://tenor.com/en-GB/view/just-when-i-thought-i-was-out-they-pull-me-back-in-michael-corleone-al-pacino-the-godfather-gif-19249100

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Oliver Johnson's avatar

Thank you again! I've pulled the numbers off your page, dug out my old scripts, and added the output to the article. You can see pretty convincing straight line growth on the logistic plot, and the slope is broadly comparable to what we saw for XBB.1.5 I think. (Feel free to point people in the Other Place at this plot if you'd like to)

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Jean Richardson's avatar

Thank you. Always a voice of reason.

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Oliver Johnson's avatar

Thanks! That's the aim at least (though sometimes easier said than done!)

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Richard's avatar

The only estimate for R of XBB.1.16 that I’m willing to accept is 1.16 for the obvious reason

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Oliver Johnson's avatar

This probably explains why BA.5 was worse than BA.4 - makes perfect sense!

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Alan Travis's avatar

Very helpful, balanced view imho. Thanks

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Oliver Johnson's avatar

Thanks for reading it!

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