> there’s been a strong tendency that waves with a smaller growth advantage tend to peak at a lower level
At risk of pointing out the obvious, under reasonable models both the initial growth rate and peak height are monotonically increasing in the initial effective reproduction number. So this follows from theory too.
Ok thanks! I was wondering about this, but then wasn't sure whether it depended on whether the advantage was due to intrinsic transmissibility or immune evasion, but that's good to know!
> there’s been a strong tendency that waves with a smaller growth advantage tend to peak at a lower level
At risk of pointing out the obvious, under reasonable models both the initial growth rate and peak height are monotonically increasing in the initial effective reproduction number. So this follows from theory too.
Ok thanks! I was wondering about this, but then wasn't sure whether it depended on whether the advantage was due to intrinsic transmissibility or immune evasion, but that's good to know!