Thank you for your post, as ever. Is there a way from this data, and from other data sets, for you to estimate how many people may have Covid in the UK right now, and what the chances of an “average” person catching it in the next few weeks might be?
In terms of "how many people have it right now", we should get that in a couple of hours because we are due the next instalment of the ONS survey, which should give us an idea of prevalence (plus hopefully geographical spread, age breakdown etc). The latter is trickier I think - or rather, knowing "average" risk may not be particularly useful because it's going to be heavily dependent on personal circumstances: dates of recent infections and booster, nature of your work, household size, and so on.
Thank you for an extremely clear, accessible and (mildly) reassuring explanation of the current situation. It is all feeling a bit too 2021 for my liking.
Thank you for your post, as ever. Is there a way from this data, and from other data sets, for you to estimate how many people may have Covid in the UK right now, and what the chances of an “average” person catching it in the next few weeks might be?
In terms of "how many people have it right now", we should get that in a couple of hours because we are due the next instalment of the ONS survey, which should give us an idea of prevalence (plus hopefully geographical spread, age breakdown etc). The latter is trickier I think - or rather, knowing "average" risk may not be particularly useful because it's going to be heavily dependent on personal circumstances: dates of recent infections and booster, nature of your work, household size, and so on.
Thank you for an extremely clear, accessible and (mildly) reassuring explanation of the current situation. It is all feeling a bit too 2021 for my liking.