14 Comments
Jan 1Liked by Oliver Johnson

In Novak Djokovic's utterly dominant calendar year 2015, in which he won three Grand Slams and lost in the final of the other, he won just 56.1% of his points in slams. (Source: https://www.tennisabstract.com/cgi-bin/player-classic.cgi?p=NovakDjokovic&f=A2015qqC2 )

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Jan 1Liked by Oliver Johnson

Rahul Dravid one of the greatest batsman ever, once said - 'I batted 604 times for India. I didn't cross 50 runs 410 times out of those innings. I failed a lot more than I succeeded. I'm more a failure than a success. I'm quite qualified to talk about failure'

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Jan 6Liked by Oliver Johnson

Happy new year Oliver. Great reading and my 13 year old lad doing probabilities at school at the moment found this very relatable so thanks again.

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Jan 1Liked by Oliver Johnson

A similar analysis could be applied to golf. The chances of winning any tournament is small even for the best players, but the chances of winning one of the Majors must be very small. Over the years, though, the edge that the best players have allows them to accrue tournament and major wins in spite of having what might look like a modest win%

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