I've been pedantic about many ZOE Covid Study criticisms. Perhaps unfairly, given ZOE's lack of clarity. This post is well-written as I'd expect, and hits really important limitations.
Both "accurate and ahead of other methods" is my personal bugbear. It was their repeated claim, while its use of a 14 day average was often not mentioned.
They took an average of swabs from the 14 days ending on Nov 10, and used that to judge a lockdown beginning on Nov 5?
They later wrote a Spectator article about it, which included the same judgement. I had a direct response from Spector himself. I still can't make sense of his reasoning.
Do you know if the ‘as it appeared in real time’ Zoe data are available anywhere? I remember there being quite a few inconsistencies (some of which you’ve helpfully documented here) so could be useful to have the option to compare performance systematically...
I've been pedantic about many ZOE Covid Study criticisms. Perhaps unfairly, given ZOE's lack of clarity. This post is well-written as I'd expect, and hits really important limitations.
Both "accurate and ahead of other methods" is my personal bugbear. It was their repeated claim, while its use of a 14 day average was often not mentioned.
They took an average of swabs from the 14 days ending on Nov 10, and used that to judge a lockdown beginning on Nov 5?
https://web.archive.org/web/20201114105840/https://twitter.com/sourcejedi/status/1327566192253526017
They later wrote a Spectator article about it, which included the same judgement. I had a direct response from Spector himself. I still can't make sense of his reasoning.
https://gist.github.com/sourcejedi/0cf3df39c94ece6d379ba9e4d4e3eadd
Do you know if the ‘as it appeared in real time’ Zoe data are available anywhere? I remember there being quite a few inconsistencies (some of which you’ve helpfully documented here) so could be useful to have the option to compare performance systematically...